Oscar Marathon 2020, Pt. 18: My Picks

Here’s your cheat sheet for the movies’ biggest night — my picks in all 24 categories, plus nods to the nominations that should have been. Click the links to read my thoughts on each of the nominated films.

Best Picture

George MacKay as Schofield in “1917.” / Universal

Ford v. Ferrari, The Irishman, Jojo Rabbit, Joker, Little Women, Marriage Story, 1917, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Parasite

Will win: 1917
Should win: Parasite
Should have been nominated: The Lighthouse, The Farewell, Pain and Glory

Lead Actor

Joaquin Phoenix as Joker / Warner Bros.

Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Adam Driver, Marriage Story
Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes

Will win: Phoenix
Should win: Banderas or Driver
Should have been nominated: Adam Sandler, Uncut Gems; Eddie Murphy, Dolemite Is My Name

Renée Zellweger in Judy

Lead Actress

Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
Charlize Theron, Bombshell
Renee Zellweger, Judy

Will and should win: Zellweger
Should have been nominated: Awkwafina, The Farewell; Lupita Nyong’o, Us; Alfre Woodard, Clemency

Brad Pitt and Leonardo DiCaprio in Once Upon a Time in Hollywood / Sony

Supporting Actor

Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
Al Pacino, The Irishman
Joe Pesci, The Irishman
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Will win: Pitt
Should win: Pitt or Hanks
Should have been nominated: Sang Kang Ho, Parasite; Alan Alda, Marriage Story; Wesley Snipes, Dolemite Is My Name; Willem Dafoe, The Lighthouse

Laura Dern and Scarlett Johansson in Marriage Story / Netflix

Supporting Actress

Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell
Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Scarlett Johannson, Jojo Rabbit
Florence Pugh, Little Women
Margot Robbie, Bombshell

Will win: Dern
Should win: Pugh or Dern
Should have been nominated: Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers; Zhao Shuzhen, The Farewell

(from left) Dean-Charles Chapman, director/co-writer Sam Mendes and George MacKay on the set of 1917. / Universal

Director

Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
Todd Phillips, Joker
Sam Mendes, 1917
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Bong Joon Ho, Parasite

Will win: Mendes
Should win: Bong
Should have been nominated: Greta Gerwig, Little Women; Lulu Wang, The Farewell; Mati Diop, Atlantics; Pedro Almodovar, Pain and Glory

Toy Story 4 / Disney

Animated Feature

How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
I Lost My Body
Klaus
Missing Link
Toy Story 4

Will win: Toy Story 4
Should win: Missing Link
Should have been nominated: Weathering with You

Memorable

Animated Short

Dcera
Hair Love
Kitbull
Memorable
Sister

Will win: Hair Love
Should win: Memorable

Roman Griffin Davis, Taika Waititi and Scarlet Johansson in Jojo Rabbit / Fox Searchlight

Adapted Screenplay

The Irishman, Steven Zaillian
Jojo Rabbit, Taika Waititi
Joker, Todd Phillips, Scott Silver
Little Women, Greta Gerwig
The Two Popes, Anthony McCarten

Will win: Jojo Rabbit
Should win: Little Women
Should have been nominated: A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Hustlers

Leonardo DiCaprio and Brad Pitt in Once UPon a Time in Hollywood / Sony

Original Screenplay

Knives Out, Rian Johnson
Marriage Story, Noah Baumbach
1917, Sam Mendes and Krysty Wilson-Cairns
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Quentin Tarantino
Parasite, Bong Joon-ho, Jin Won Han

Will win: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Should win: Parasite
Should have been nominated: The Farewell, Pain and Glory, Booksmart, Uncut Gems

1917 / Universal

Cinematography

The Irishman, Rodrigo Prieto
Joker, Lawrence Sher
The Lighthouse, Jarin Blaschke
1917, Roger Deakins
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Robert Richardson

Will and should win: 1917
Should have been nominated: Parasite, Portrait of a Lady on Fire, A Hidden Life, Ad Astra, Little Women

Honeyland

Documentary Feature

American Factory
The Cave
The Edge of Democracy
For Sama
Honeyland

Will and should win: Honeyland
Should have been nominated: One Child Nation, Apollo 11

Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You’re a Girl)

Documentary Short Subject

In the Absence
Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone
Life Overtakes Me
St. Louis Superman
Walk Run Cha-Cha

Will win: Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone
Should win: In the Absence

Brotherhood

Live Action Short Film

Brotherhood
NEFTA Football Club
The Neighbors’ Window
Saria
A Sister

Will win: Brotherhood
Should win: A Sister

Parasite / Neon

International Feature Film

Corpus Christi
Honeyland
Les Miserables
Pain and Glory
Parasite

Will and should win: Parasite

Christian Bale and Matt Damon in Ford v. Ferrari / 20th Century Fox

Film Editing

Ford v. Ferrari
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Parasite

Will win: Ford v. Ferrari
Should win: Parasite
Should have been nominated: 1917

1917 / Universal

Sound Editing

Ford v. Ferrari
Joker
1917
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Will win: 1917
Should win: Ford v. Ferrari
Should have been nominated: Rocketman, Avengers: Endgame, Ad Astra

1917 / Universal

Sound Mixing

Ad Astra
Ford v. Ferrari
Joker
1917
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Will win: 1917
Should win: Ford v. Ferrari
Should have been nominated: Rocketman, Avengers: Endgame, Judy

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood / Sony

Production Design

The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
1917
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite

Will win: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Should win: Parasite
Should have been nominated: Little Women, Ford v. Ferrari, Downton Abbey

Joker / Warner Bros.

Original Score

Joker, Hildur Guðnadóttir
Little Women, Alexandre Desplat
Marriage Story, Randy Newman
1917, Thomas Newman
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, John Williams

Will win: Joker
Should win: Little Women
Should have been nominated: Us, Pain and Glory

Rocketman

Original Song

“I Can’t Let You Throw Yourself Away,” Toy Story 4
“I’m Gonna Love Me Again,” Rocketman
“I’m Standing With You,” Breakthrough
“Into the Unknown,” Frozen II
“Stand Up,” Harriet

Will win: “I’m Gonna Love Me Again”
Should win / should have been nominated: “Glasgow,” Wild Rose

Bombshell / Lionsgate

Makeup and Hair

Bombshell
Joker
Judy
Maleficent: Mistress of Evil
1917

Will and should win: Bombshell
Should have been nominated: Rocketman, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Florence Pugh, Saoirse Ronan and Emma Watson in Greta Gerwig’s Little Women / Sony

Costume Design

The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Will and should win: Little Women
Should have been nominated: Rocketman, Dolemite Is My Name, Downton Abbey, Knives Out, Hustlers

1917 / Universal

Visual Effects

Avengers: Endgame
The Irishman
1917
The Lion King
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Will win: 1917
Should win: Avengers: Endgame
Should have been nominated: Captain Marvel

Up next: The nominees — ranked

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